During the 2008 primary season, the two people who were able to interpert the numbers and lay out the most logical scenarios were Chuck Todd of MSNBC and Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. By the end of the primaries, if one of those guys said that it would snow in June in San Diego, I would have bought a parka. Nate has Martha Coakley as a 3 to 1 underdog in tomorrow's Massachusetts special election to replace the late Ted Kennedy. Great article on how Nate Silver works his magic here.
Democrats have a huge registration advantage over Republicans in Massachusetts but independents make up more than half of the voters. Republican Scott Brown is apparently trouncing Coakley with the independents.
President Obama made a last ditch visit to try and rally the troops, but it likely was too little, too late. By most accounts, Coakley thought she had the race wrapped up after winning the Democratic nomination. Perhaps hiring Walter Mondale as her campaign manager wasn't such a great idea.
No comments:
Post a Comment